For my Canadian readers, especially Tory Ninja. (H/T Ben)
Prime Minister Stephen Harper’s Conservatives have opened up a wide lead against their political rivals in public favour and would be close to winning a majority if an election occurred now, a new poll has found.
The national survey, conducted exclusively for Postmedia News and Global National, found that the Tories are now supported by 43% of decided voters — up by four points from early February.
That finding by pollster Ipsos Reid is significant, as the level of support is near the threshold that experts believe the Tories need to win their long-coveted majority.
The Conservatives haven’t been this popular since they enjoyed a brief spike in the polls in December 2008 when Canadians were opposed to the opposition parties’ efforts to create a coalition government.
The new survey shows the Tories have a 16-point lead over the Liberals, led by Michael Ignatieff. The Grits, who have been trying to stoke voter anger over the government’s performance, have the support of 27% of voters, up by two points.
Jack Layton’s NDP appears to be in political decline as it makes demands to the government over what should be in the budget. The New Democrats would receive 13% of the vote, down by five points.
Similarly, the Green party, led by Elizabeth May, is in trouble. It would receive five per cent of the vote, down by five points.
Gilles Duceppe’s Bloc Quebecois has 10%of the vote nationally and still has a commanding lead in Quebec.
“What you’re seeing in the numbers is a continuation of a trend that started over the past two months,” said Ipsos Reid president Darrell Bricker on Tuesday.
“And one could say that with these types of numbers, the Tories are well poised to potentially form a majority.”
Bricker said that two major factors are at work: Canadians are generally optimistic about the economy and are giving credit to the Harper government, and the negative Conservative TV ads which take aim at Ignatieff’s political ambitions and patriotism are working.
[...]Bricker said another trend is occurring which works in the Tories’ favour: They are increasingly attracting support beyond their traditional base.
The new poll finds the Tories receiving more support from middle-income Canadians, women, university-educated voters and foreign-born Canadians.
“They’re flattening out those demographic differences and becoming more mainstream,” said Bricker.
[...]The federal political parties are preparing for the possibility of an election that could be precipitated by a budget in late March.
[...]In every region but Quebec, the Tories are leading in public opinion.
This poll puts them in majority territory, because last time they only won by 37.65% to 26.26% but they won 143 seats. 155 seats are needed for a majority, so 43% would definitely do the job. Anything over 40% is good.
Stephen Harper has a BA and MA in Economics, and is cutting the corporate tax rate to HALF of the US corporate tax rate. In Canada, voters are concerned about JOBS, not about Harper’s skin color, happy-talk or handsomeness. Canadians understand that if you woo corporations and businesses with low taxes and fewe regulations, you get the jobs. Harper also supports free trade, so that Canadians can sell their goods to foreign markets, and buy good from abroad for a cheaper price, either for consumption of manufacturing. This results in even MORE jobs.
- Poll finds 68% of Canadians positive on Canadian economy
- Canada created twice the number of jobs as the United States in January
- Canadian prime minister Stephen Harper vows to end long-gun registry
- Stephen Harper makes a stand against North Korean aggression
- Fiscally conservative Canada campaigns against global bank tax
- Federal conservatives in Canada aim to cut spending and waste from budget
- Canada’s finance minister proposes changes to mortgage lending laws
- Supreme Court sides with Conservative Party against price-fixing monopoly
- Canadian prime minister Stephen Harper seeks increased trade with India
- Canadian Evangelicals and Catholics more opposed to secularism and socialism
- Members of Canadian socialist parties oppose child sex-trafficking crime bill
- Harper instructs foreign minister to denounce Libyan dictator
- Canadians to walk out of Ahmadinejad’s speech at UN
- Canada signs free trade deal with Panama
- Harper pays surprise visit to troops in Afghanistan
- Investors Business Daily says Harper better leader than Obama
- Round-up of US news media interviews with Stephen Harper