Wintery Knight

…integrating Christian faith and knowledge in the public square

Crime rates in Chicago and DC drop after gun control laws are struck down

From Fox News – what happens to crime rates when gun control laws are repealed? (H/T Reason To Stand)

Excerpt:

Murder and violent crime rates were supposed to soar after the Supreme Court struck down gun control laws in Chicago and Washington, D.C.

Politicians predicted disaster. “More handguns in the District of Columbia will only lead to more handgun violence,” Washington’s Mayor Adrian Fenty warned the day the court made its decision.

Chicago’s Mayor Daley predicted that we would “go back to the Old West, you have a gun and I have a gun and we’ll settle it in the streets…”

The New York Times even editorialized this month about the Supreme Court’s “unwise” decision that there is a right for people “to keep guns in the home.”

But Armageddon never happened. Newly released data for Chicago shows that, as in Washington, murder and gun crime rates didn’t rise after the bans were eliminated — they plummeted. They have fallen much more than the national crime rate.

Not surprisingly, the national media have been completely silent about this news.

One can only imagine the coverage if crime rates had risen. In the first six months of this year, there were 14% fewer murders in Chicago compared to the first six months of last year – back when owning handguns was illegal. It was the largest drop in Chicago’s murder rate since the handgun ban went into effect in 1982.

Meanwhile, the other four most populous cities saw a total drop at the same time of only 6 percent.

Similarly, in the year after the 2008 “Heller” decision, the murder rate fell two-and-a-half times faster in Washington than in the rest of the country.

It also fell more than three as fast as in other cities that are close to Washington’s size. And murders in Washington have continued to fall.

If you compare the first six months of this year to the first six months of 2008, the same time immediately preceding the Supreme Court’s late June “Heller” decision, murders have now fallen by thirty-four percent.

Gun crimes also fell more than non-gun crimes.

Robberies with guns fell by 25%, while robberies without guns have fallen by eight percent. Assaults with guns fell by 37%, while assaults without guns fell by 12%.

Just as with right-to-carry laws, when law-abiding citizens have guns some criminals stop carrying theirs.

Read the whole thing, there are more lovely facts in there. If you ever need to debate this, I recommend buying these academic studies published by the University of Chicago Press and by Harvard University Press. The former shows how crime rates dropped in the USA when Americans rescinded gun control laws, and the latter shows how crime rates rose in the UK when the British strengthened their gun control laws. Sometimes is good to have the data handy.

Let’s learn about the issue from the news

ABC News explains in this short 6-minute clip:

And here is a longer 44-minute show from Fox Business: (featuring a debate between economist John Lott and the Brady Campaign spokesman)

There are other debates in the show as well.

Now watch a 3-on-3 debate on gun control

This debate is in 13 parts, featuring the two of the best proponents of legal firearm ownership – John Lott and Gary Kleck. The real sparks fly during the Q&A, so don’t miss that. (If you can’t watch the debate, then you can read this post and this post instead).

Here’s part 1, which contains the introduction.

Here are the remaining speeches:

This is everything you need to know about whether legal ownership of firearms reduce crime.

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9 Responses

  1. Adam G says:

    Is this a good time to mention that murders in Chicago are up 40% this year?

    • Yes! And here is the evidence:

      http://www.nbcchicago.com/blogs/ward-room/The-Deadliest-Global-City-163874546.html

      The gun control capital of the world is also the murder capital of the world. Who knew? Sane people who make policy based on evidence knew.

      • Adam G says:

        This is the result sane people expected when the handgun ban was overturned?

        • More legal firearm ownership = less crime, less legal firearm ownership = more crime.

          When you look at the UK gun ban of 1997, the violent crime rate doubled in 4 years.

          http://reason.com/archives/2002/11/01/gun-controls-twisted-outcome/singlepage

          Quote:

          Nearly five centuries of growing civility ended in 1954. Violent crime has been climbing ever since. Last December, London’s Evening Standard reported that armed crime, with banned handguns the weapon of choice, was “rocketing.” In the two years following the 1997 handgun ban, the use of handguns in crime rose by 40 percent, and the upward trend has continued. From April to November 2001, the number of people robbed at gunpoint in London rose 53 percent.

          Gun crime is just part of an increasingly lawless environment. From 1991 to 1995, crimes against the person in England’s inner cities increased 91 percent. And in the four years from 1997 to 2001, the rate of violent crime more than doubled. Your chances of being mugged in London are now six times greater than in New York. England’s rates of assault, robbery, and burglary are far higher than America’s, and 53 percent of English burglaries occur while occupants are at home, compared with 13 percent in the U.S., where burglars admit to fearing armed homeowners more than the police. In a United Nations study of crime in 18 developed nations published in July, England and Wales led the Western world’s crime league, with nearly 55 crimes per 100 people.

          This sea change in English crime followed a sea change in government policies.

          If you change the law, it takes a while for the rate to drop, but that’s exactly what happened in the 40+ states that legalized concealed carry, according to this study published by the University of Chicago Press:

          http://www.press.uchicago.edu/ucp/books/book/chicago/M/bo6686900.html

          And those results are echoed by this study published by Harvard University Press:

          http://www.hup.harvard.edu/catalog.php?isbn=9780674016088

          Let me know if you have similar evidence from similar sources. This is a settled issue. Private ownership of firearms reduces crime because criminals don’t want to get shot by their victims.

          Be sure and link to some evidence from top university presses in your reply. K Thanx Bai.

  2. Jerry says:

    you’ve implied some correlation but do we know if it’s the causation? When did immigration from the middle east to England pick up?

    As for chicago – most of that is gang related violence – so it’s people with illegal handguns shooting others with illegal handguns – no laws help in those areas.

    The real question is what is the violent crime rate doing in suburbia and beyond?

  3. […] Crime rates in Chicago and DC drop after gun control laws are struck down […]

  4. […] Crime rates in Chicago and DC drop after gun control laws are struck down […]

  5. Ronald Chappell says:

    These stats beg the question. If gun control laws don’t correlate with lower gun violence, what does. What are they doing right to effect lower gun violence. Let’s do more of it instead of wasting efforts on ‘gun control’.

  6. […] the economy to collapse.  His way of protecting us from gun violence may increase the crime rate (as has happened in virtually every city with strict gun laws).  My point isn’t to win debates about climate control and gun control, my point is that […]

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