Bush’s tax cuts led to a 44% increase in revenues from 2003 to 2007

Federal Receipts 2003 through 2007
Federal Receipts 2003 through 2007

From Newsbusters. It turns out that Bush’s tax cuts in 2001 and 2003 were not responsible for adding to the deficit. They actually increased the amount of tax money being collected, as the economy grew, and more jobs were created. People pay more in taxes when they have jobs.

Excerpt:

The graph doesn’t show collections tanking, does it? Instead, the graph shows that collections increased by 44%, or almost $800 billion, in four years. Adding up the individual increments in each of the four years compared to 2003 (2004 – $98B; 2005 – $371B; 2006 – $624B; 2007 – $785B; 2008, not shown, treating IRS stimulus payments as outlays instead of negative receipts – $835B), what really happened is that in the five full fiscal years after George W. Bush got the across-the-board and investment-related tax cuts he had been pushing for since taking office in 2001, the cumulative increase in tax collections was over $2.7 trillion.

Doubtless, the static analysis crowd will claim that collections would have been even higher (I guess by a cumulative $1.6 trillion, given the AP’s Democratic Party talking point above) if the Bush cuts hadn’t been enacted. Two words, guys: Prove it. Two follow-up words: You can’t.

We can argue all day long about the how much of the increase in collections was due to the incentive effects of the tax cuts and how of the improvement might have occurred anyway, but no one can credibly act as if it’s an established fact that the Bush cuts somehow caused collections to go $1.6 trillion in the opposite direction. There is absolutely no proof for this contention, and plenty of evidence that the Bush cuts jump-started an economy and federal collections, both of which had been flat or declining during the two years leading up to mid-2003. The more reasonable conclusion to reach is that the country would already be dead in the water if the Bush tax cuts hadn’t passed in 2003. Instead, the wire service hopes that its “Bush tax cuts cost us” meme will be gullibly recited during the next several days at its subscribing newspaper, TV, and radio outlets. “Disgraceful” doesn’t even begin to describe this pathetic promotion of self-evident falsehood.

The fact is that the federal budget was one good year away from balancing after the $162 deficit reported in fiscal 2007. Unfortunately, that was the last budget passed by a Republican-controlled Congress, and it was the only year which showed a modest increase in overall spending. Beginning in 2007 with effects beginning in fiscal 2008, the House and Senate controlled by Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid began increasing spending at rates far beyond what profligate Republicans spent earlier in the decade, and, unfortunately, Bush 43 made no real effort to stop them…

Read the whole thing.

UPDATE: Reggie sent me this article showing that the Reagan tax cuts also increased revenues.

Excerpt:

In 1980, the last year before the tax cuts, tax revenues were $956 billion (in constant 1996 dollars).

Revenues exceeded that 1980 level in eight of the next 10 years. Annual revenues over the next decade averaged $102 billion above their 1980 level (in constant 1996 dollars).

The graph is here.

When you get people to start engaging in the economy, you can collect more taxes from them. They engage when they think that they will be able to keep more of what they make from their labor.

6 thoughts on “Bush’s tax cuts led to a 44% increase in revenues from 2003 to 2007”

  1. So you’re claim is that the alleged 800 billion increase in tax receipts somehow cancels out the almost 6 trillion in increased debt? I would think the logic is simple…Bush greatly increased government spending while decreasing its tax roles, adding almost 6 trillion to the amount that America owes by the time he left office 8 years later. Even if you can show some minor increases in tax revenue, it wasn’t enough to offset what he spent or the fact that he entangled us in to two costly wars with no end in sight and long term costs (veteran benefits, replacement of military vehicles worn/destroyed by constant war use, depletion of military reserves, etc).

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    1. Bush’s smallest budget deficit was 160 billion in the last year the Republicans controlled the House and Senate. He was reducing the deficit steadily, with the goal of balancing the budget in 2008. He was stopped when the Democrats took over the House and Senate. That’s when the budget deficit began to increase, reaching the full 1.65 trillion we see today under Obama. 1.65 trillion is TEN TIMES the deficit that Bush had in 2007.

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      1. As the person with the final say (unless overriden), he is responsible for the debts incurred. He could have easily vetoed the budgets saying that he preferred a more balanced approach. He didn’t; he gladly whipped out his pen and put the country on the road to bankrupcy. Do the dems share blame in all of this, of course they do, but in a government with checks and balances, they don’t take all of the blame. Bush could have stopped it but he chose not to.

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        1. This is a good point. He did have the veto capability. But I don’t think he has the sole responsibility. Jerry, come on. Give the man a break. He was trying to reduce the deficit. He as one man against the whole house and senate. It’s easy to judge in hindsight. The deficit was shrinking from 2003 to 2007.

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          1. I’m not saying he has sole responsibility, but it is his job to stand up for what he believes is best for the country – he signed these bills, so he need to take at least a large portion of the responsibility – say 50% as he leads the executive branch and the senate/congress are part of the legislative. He in affect said he agrees with what they did. Had he even did a veto just to make a point I could move a lot closer to you in agreement, but there was hardly a spending bill that president didn’t like. Had he vetoed it and the legislative branch overrode him, I would agree with you 100%.

            I’m not sure if he has line-item veto power with bills like this…but if he did, he surely could have used that.

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